Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004076 0.004471 0.004896 0.005388 0.005943 0.006551 0.007271
2025-08-31 0.003327 0.003857 0.004468 0.005228 0.006156 0.007262 0.008693
2025-09-07 0.002954 0.003551 0.004271 0.005213 0.006427 0.007962 0.010084
2025-09-14 0.002761 0.003420 0.004245 0.005370 0.006893 0.008920 0.011894
2025-09-21 0.002511 0.003182 0.004049 0.005271 0.006988 0.009374 0.013051
2025-09-28 0.002306 0.002981 0.003874 0.005172 0.007057 0.009779 0.014169
2025-10-05 0.002165 0.002850 0.003780 0.005167 0.007248 0.010367 0.015627
2025-10-12 0.002075 0.002782 0.003761 0.005263 0.007590 0.011210 0.017600
2025-10-19 0.001949 0.002650 0.003641 0.005196 0.007669 0.011640 0.018931
2025-10-26 0.001851 0.002552 0.003561 0.005178 0.007819 0.012194 0.020552
2025-11-02 0.001747 0.002438 0.003450 0.005101 0.007862 0.012565 0.021882
2025-11-09 0.001683 0.002378 0.003413 0.005138 0.008094 0.013287 0.023988
2025-11-16 0.001598 0.002285 0.003325 0.005090 0.008189 0.013795 0.025807
2025-11-23 0.001496 0.002162 0.003181 0.004941 0.008095 0.013948 0.026925
2025-11-30 0.001433 0.002093 0.003121 0.004927 0.008239 0.014568 0.029167
2025-12-07 0.001408 0.002084 0.003153 0.005074 0.008694 0.015859 0.033202
2025-12-14 0.001338 0.001998 0.003054 0.004981 0.008682 0.016191 0.035007
2025-12-21 0.001274 0.001917 0.002960 0.004889 0.008662 0.016501 0.036818
2025-12-28 0.001230 0.001868 0.002916 0.004884 0.008815 0.017204 0.039808
2026-01-04 0.001205 0.001849 0.002922 0.004974 0.009168 0.018402 0.044436
2026-01-11 0.001156 0.001788 0.002852 0.004911 0.009196 0.018851 0.047028
2026-01-18 0.001119 0.001744 0.002806 0.004894 0.009320 0.019545 0.050531
2026-01-25 0.001074 0.001686 0.002736 0.004823 0.009316 0.019924 0.053146